The US Open gets under way on Thursday and Dustin Johnson at 8/1 looks to have an outstanding chance of adding to his major tally.
First of all, he’s finished in the top four at four of the last five US Opens, winning in 2016.
The world number two also has excellent form, with seven top-10 finishes in his 11 starts in 2019. They include runner-up finishes at both majors thus far.
In the current PGA Tour season, no-one has a lower scoring average, but what really makes him appeal is a superb record on this Pebble Beach course.
His record at the AT&T Pro-Am, an annual event on the PGA Tour is as follows (most recent first): T2-3-T41-T4-T2-MC-T5-T55-1-1-T7.
That’s two wins and eight top-10 finishes in 11 appearances. He also finished tied for eighth when the 2010 US Open was staged here, having led by three shots after the third round.
For those seeking each-way value, 150/1 shot Tyrrell Hatton looks worth a try.
Last year he finished sixth in the US Open and backed that up with another top-10 at the 2018 PGA.
He might have repeated that feat at last month’s PGA had he not suffered a final-round collapse.
He played three good rounds at Bethpage and has since finished tied for eighth at the Charles Schwab Challenge.
Hatton likes links golf – he’s twice a winner of the Alfred Dunhill Links in Scotland – and his price looks tempting.
Finally, another long shot worth backing is Chez Reavie in the first-round leader market at 150/1.
Tied second at Pebble Beach last year and also has US Open form, having finished 16th in 2017.
He’s been in the top 20 in three of his last four tournaments and looks to have the game to do well here.
Driving accuracy is always big at the US Open with the rough up and he’s ranked second on the PGA Tour on that statistic. He’s also a decent 26th in shots gained approaching the green.
Reavie shot 62 in round one of the Zurich Classic recently and also made 65 on day one of the Sony Open this year.
At Pebble Beach, his first rounds have been 68-67-75-63-67. Scores will likely be higher for this event and a similar performance level would put him right in the mix.