The odds are stacked against Watford when they attempt to stop Manchester City completing the domestic treble on Saturday and Pep Guardiola’s side should have little difficulty winning the FA Cup final.
However, the Hornets will be boosted by the fact that City have only won the FA Cup final once in the last 50 years – and that was a low-key 1-0 triumph against Stoke City eight years ago.
The Citizens were famously beaten by Wigan Athletic in the 2013 final while the Latics, who were then in League One, defeated Guardiola’s team in the fifth round last season.
However, City have been so good recently, apart from their Champions League exit at the hands of Tottenham, that it seems inconceivable that Javi Gracia’s team, who lost 4-1 at home to West Ham on Sunday, can shock them.
Across all domestic competitions, City have scored 131 goals, at a rate of 2.67 per match, while conceding just 27, at 0.55 per game.
They were victorious in their last 14 Premier League matches, winning the title for the second season in a row while completing a double over the Hornets.
Gabriel Jesus scored the decisive goal against Brighton in City’s semi-final victory and is expected to start on Saturday, so he may be worth following in the first scorer market.
Watford have lost their last 10 matches against City, including a 6-0 defeat to Guardiola’s team at Vicarage Road in the 2017/18 season.
The 3-0 setback at Chelsea earlier this month means they have lost 11 of their 12 matches this season against the top six, with the only exception being the 2-1 win against Spurs in early September.
They have enjoyed their best league campaign for more than three decades and knocked Premier League teams Newcastle United, Crystal Palace and Wolves out on their way to Wembley.
Gracia’s team could frustrate City in the first half so a draw at half time and victory for the Premier League champions after 90 minutes may be worth considering at 57/20.
Watford’s only previous appearance in an FA Cup final came 35 years ago when they lost 2-0 to Everton, and it seems likely that their second final will end in similarly disappointing fashion.
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