Newport County’s bid to claim perhaps the biggest FA Cup upset of modern times takes centre stage when it comes to Saturday’s fifth-round matches, but those looking for a shock should be focusing on the south coast.
Derby double chance @ 1/1
The Rams have already claimed the scalp of one Premier League side this season when ousting Southampton via a penalty shootout in the third round. Frank Lampard’s men then avoided a potential banana skin at Accrington in the next round to set up a tie with an out-of-sorts Brighton.
The Seagulls looked firmly on course for mid-table in the Premier League at the turn of the year but a run of one win in six has seen them slide back down the ladder. With a relegation fight looming, Brighton boss Chris Hughton is likely to make wholesale changes to his starting line-up for the cup tie.
Derby boss Frank Lampard has also said he will rotate his team after travelling to Ipswich on Wednesday night but whatever XI he sends out, the Rams have proven to be a tough nut to crack recently.
Derby have lost just two of their last 15 matches in all competitions and can at least avoid defeat in the early kick-off on Saturday.
Wimbledon +1 @ 5/6
There is just one 3pm kick-off in the FA Cup on Saturday, much to the traditionalist’s dismay, but it should be a feisty one when Millwall travel to AFC Wimbledon.
The Dons caused a major upset in the last round when downing West Ham 4-2 and will be confident of getting the better of their south London neighbours. The Lions also pulled off a shock when beating Everton in round four but that is their only win in the last six.
Neil Harris’ men have failed to score in their last three matches in the Championship, while Wimbledon have only managed one goal since they put four past West Ham, making under 2.5 at 20/29 an option.
Even with Wimbledon conceding two or more in their last three matches at Kingsmeadow, this looks like being a fiercely contested and tight cup tie.
Jesus to score 2 or more @ 5/4
Manchester City have been ruthless when paired with lower league opposition so far this season, putting nine past Burton in the EFL Cup and scoring seven in their third-round win over Rotherham. Even Chelsea aren’t safe from a City shellacking so it could turn out to be a long night for Newport.
The Exiles can take inspiration from Wigan’s famous win over Pep Guardiola’s men in last year’s FA Cup, while they are unbeaten at home in their last two meetings with Premier League opposition.
That is clutching at straws, though, and logic dictates it will be another big City win. With changes to his line-up likely, Jesus could fill his boots having scored 11 times since the turn of the year.
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