Burnley have been one of the success stories of the season and the Clarets can secure a tangible reward by overcoming Brighton at Turf Moor on Saturday.
Sean Dyche’s side have been unfortunate on home soil recently, managing just two wins from six games. That barely tells the story.
In that sequence they faced Manchester City, Manchester United and Chelsea, along with a Southampton team battling for survival.
They’ve yielded a fair return of eight points from the 18 on offer, losing only by the odd goal to United and Chelsea and holding champions City.
Chris Hughton’s visitors here are 13th and still just about looking over their shoulders in the bid for survival. With United, City and Liverpool to come, the Seagulls need for points is very much a going concern.
Brighton’s survival could well hinge on Southampton’s inability to reel them in over their four remaining games, with Mark Hughes’ men currently seven points adrift on the Premier League first-timers.
For Burnley, the prize on Saturday is three points and an assurance of seventh spot, plus a trip to the Europa League qualifiers in July. That is a big reward for Dyche and his squad and they’ll be fired up here. At 5/4 they can get their three points.
Saints meanwhile face a south-coast derby with Bournemouth at St Mary’s that could make or break their survival hopes. It ranks as a must win game.
Their recent record in this fixture is a plus, but a run of nine home matches without a league win is a big worry. The Cherries meanwhile have picked up maximum rewards in just one of their last 11 away matches.
Eddie Howe’s outfit would relish the chance to dent their neighbours hopes of staying up and a third successive draw between these clubs looks a fair shout at 59/20.
Like Burnley, Crystal Palace found things hard going on their own patch recently as Tottenham, Liverpool and then United all pitched up at Selhurst Park to win. Palace showed fight and were never more than one goal adrift at the end of those contests.
Roy Hodgson’s men took care of business last time out on home turf with a 3-2 win over Brighton before taking a useful stalemate from a trip to Watford last week.
One more win would likely see Palace safe (they’d have 38 points) and they can grab it at odds of 21/20 on Saturday against a Leicester City team seemingly already on summer holiday mode.
The Foxes haven’t won any of their last five games and will be up against it amid the Selhurst cauldron if Palace talisman Wilfried Zaha is on his game.
Liverpool are deemed very likely to leave Stoke in deeper trouble by winning the early kick-off on Saturday at Anfield though Swansea, with four wins from six games lately, might be up to getting a point from Chelsea at 16/5 in evening game.