Southampton host Stoke in a crucial fixture in the fight against the drop today and I’m expecting a win for the home side.
Saints remain without forward Charlie Austin and have been struggling for goals but their form hasn’t been too bad of late, and they showed some spirit to come back and claim a draw at Burnley last weekend.
Stoke’s away form is the key factor in this one, and although they may have picked up a draw at Leicester in their last game on the road, they have lost six of their last nine away games and have managed just one away win all season.
Only West Brom have a worse home record than Mauricio Pellegrino’s men and that is a concern, but they have only lost once in their last nine games in all competitions and seem to be putting a run of results together as they bid to move clear of the bottom three.
A 1-0 home win at 23/4 also appeals as this basement battle has the potential to be a real scrap and a low-scoring affair.
There are some big games in Italy today as Juventus and Napoli face big tests but I’m expecting both Scudetto contenders to come out on top.
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