A low-scoring match seems set to be on the cards on Monday when Huddersfield Town meet Reading in the Championship play-off final at Wembley.
There is very little between the two teams and one goal could settle what seems certain to be a tight encounter with penalties a distinct possibility.
In the regular Championship season, the two teams were separated by just four points, with the Royals finishing third and David Wagner’s Town side fifth.
A Roy Beerens goal in September proved to be enough for Reading to beat Huddersfield 1-0 at the Madejski Stadium before Town won in West Yorkshire by the same scoreline thanks to Philip Billing’s late goal.
Reading won seven of their last nine Championship fixtures before edging past Fulham in the semi-finals of the play-offs while Huddersfield lost six of their last ten matches before beating Sheffield Wednesday on penalties earlier this month after their semi-final had finished 1-1 on aggregate.
Huddersfield have over-achieved massively this term after being tipped to be relegated this season by many pundits. They somehow managed to finish in the play-offs despite having a negative goal difference while Reading contrived to lose 7-1 at Norwich City in April.
Even though both teams have struggled at the back at times this season – relegated Wigan Athletic conceded fewer goals than Wagner’s side and mid-table Aston Villa had a better defensive record than both finalists – the odds on there being under 1.5 goals at Wembley looks too good to ignore at 33/20.
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